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Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley is continuing to show signs of momentum in her 2024 run, as a new Emerson College poll focused on Iowa shows her scoring 17% support in that key state.
It’s the first time Haley has topped GOP rival Ron DeSantis in an Iowa poll, according to a data set from RealClearPolitics.
DeSantis, the governor of Florida, drew 15% support in Emerson’s latest poll, which was released Wednesday. Former President Donald Trump continued to post front-runner numbers, getting 50%, as shown in the chart below. Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy was fourth at 8% and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie drew 4%. Six percent of respondents were undecided.
Emerson College Polling
The Iowa poll follows a New Hampshire survey that showed Haley gaining on Trump in that key state, although the 45th president still has a 15-point edge there.
A separate Iowa poll last month from the Koch network’s Americans for Prosperity Action showed Haley ahead of DeSantis, but that poll isn’t included in RCP’s data set. The Koch network endorsed Haley last month.
“Trump remains the most likely GOP nominee given the size of his polling lead, but we continue to receive questions around how Nikki Haley might secure the GOP nomination,” a team of Raymond James analysts led by Ed Mills said in a note on Wednesday.
“We view her nomination as unlikely, but a potential path remains at this stage in the race. Haley could pose a material challenge to Trump if she is able to secure a strong second-place showing in the January 15 Iowa caucuses (the first set of votes in the primary process), followed by a first-place victory in New Hampshire and [if she] continues the momentum in her home state of South Carolina.”
Haley, a former South Carolina governor and ex-ambassador to the United Nations, needs a “consolidation of support around her as the anti-Trump candidate and other candidates dropping out of the race as soon as possible,” the Raymond James analysts added.
“From a market
SPX
perspective, we could see support for a Haley nomination being viewed favorably, given the head-to-head match-up lead she has over President [Joe] Biden, and the likely changes to regulations that a potential Haley presidency would bring,” they said.
In a September speech, Haley pledged to support the U.S. energy industry
XLE
and suggested that Washington has been “stifling it.”
U.S. stocks were slipping Wednesday after a string of record finishes for the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA.
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