Oil prices erase losses seen after China data disappointment

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Oil futures regained their footing Tuesday, erasing losses seen earlier in the session after disappointing international trade data from China sparked worries over demand.

Price action

  • West Texas Intermediate crude for September delivery
    CL00,
    +0.90%

    CL.1,
    +0.90%

    CLU23,
    +0.90%

    rose 12 cents, or 0.1%, to $82.06 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after dipping as low as $79.90 in morning trade.

  • October Brent crude
    BRN00,
    +0.79%

    BRNV23,
    +0.79%
    ,
    the global benchmark, was up 8 cents, or 0.1%, at $85.42 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

  • Back on Nymex, September gasoline
    RBU23,
    +1.13%

    rose 0.2% to $2.811 a gallon, while September heating oil
    HOU23,
    +2.33%

    was up 1.1% at $3.048 a gallon.

  • September natural gas
    NGU23,
    +1.65%

    rose 1.2% to $2.758 per million British thermal units.

Market drivers

China’s outbound shipments fell 14.5% from a year earlier in July, compared with the 12.4% decline in June, the General Administration of Customs said. Chinese imports declined 12.4% from a year earlier in July, compared with June’s 6.8% fall. That left China’s trade surplus at $80.6 billion in July, wider than the $70.62 billion surplus in June and the $70.3 billion surplus expected by economists.

Chinese oil imports, meanwhile, saw a 19% monthly fall to 43.7 million tons, equal to 10.3 million barrels a day, in July on lower domestic demand and higher inventories, said Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson, commodities strategists at ING, in a note. Still, oil imports are 17% above the previous year’s low base, which was depressed by COVID outbreaks and extensive lockdowns. China’s crude imports are up 12.5% year over year to 326 million tones over the first seven months of 2023.

“Amid a steady rally dating back to late June, fundamentals continue to skew supportive,” said Robbie Fraser, manager of global research and analytics at Schneider Electric, in a note.

Saudi Arabia has pledged to continue a voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels a day, which took effect in July, through the end of September, while Russia has said it would cut exports by 300,000 barrels a day through the end of next month.

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