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Concerns from prominent central bankers regarding aggressive rate cut expectations have convinced markets to ease off, providing a lift to the dollar and US yields. BoJ, ECB provide updates after their respective meetings and 4th quarter GDP and PCE figures to aid volatility.
(AI Video Summary)
In this video, Richard Snow and Nicholas Corley, experts in trading, talk about recent events in the market and what we can expect in the future. They mention how changes in interest rate expectations have affected the market. The Fed, which is responsible for managing the US economy, has made it clear that they are not planning multiple rate cuts. As a result, short-term US Treasury yields have gone up, and the value of the dollar has increased.
They also talk about inflation, which is the increase in prices of goods and services over time. Currently, inflation is high, but experts believe that it will start to go down in the future. This is because of certain factors like one-time price increases that won’t continue happening. So even though recent reports show higher inflation, it doesn’t necessarily mean that prices will keep rising.
Looking ahead to the next week, they mention that the Bank of Japan is not expected to change its policies. They also discuss the possibility of the Bank of Japan verbally intervening to stop the rise of the dollar compared to the yen. This is important for Japan because they want to control how much their currency is worth in relation to other currencies.
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They then talk about PMI data, which shows how the economies of the Eurozone, UK, and US are doing at the beginning of the year. They briefly mention the upcoming interest rate decision by the European Central Bank, which they expect to stay the same.
Next, they talk about the Q4 GDP release for the US, which will tell us how much the economy has grown. They mention that it seems like the economy is slowing down, but the GDP numbers will give us a clearer picture.
They also discuss the performance of the US dollar and how it might trade sideways until the FOMC meeting. The Nasdaq, a stock market index, has been doing well because of technology stocks. They also mention that the upcoming earnings season will be interesting to watch.
Lastly, they talk about the recent increase in the price of gold and how it might continue to go up if people see it as a safe investment. They mention the technical pattern of gold and the possibility of it breaking out to even higher prices.
All in all, they discuss different aspects of the market, including interest rates, inflation, GDP, and the performance of different currencies and assets like gold. These factors can impact the market and people’s trading decisions.
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