‘Mortgage financing remains a headwind for home prices’: Home-price growth slows in December, with San Francisco leading the way

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The numbers: The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city house price index rise fell 0.5% in December, its sixth monthly decline. 

Year-over-year appreciation was still up 4.6%, but has slowed down from a 6.8% annual increase in the previous month.

A broader measure of home prices, the national index, fell a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in December, but was up 5.8% over the past year.

Key details: Miami, Tampa and Atlanta reported the highest year-over-year gains among the 20 cities in December. 

San Francisco, Seattle and Portland reported the lowest year-over-year gains. San Francisco has seen home-price growth fall by 4.2% from last December. 

Here’s the full list of 20 cities and their home prices:

Cities

Change from last year

Atlanta

10.4%

Boston

5.2%

Charlotte

9.9%

Chicago

5.9%

Cleveland

6%

Dallas

7.9%

Denver

3.5%

Detroit

4.5%

Las Vegas 

3.6%

Los Angeles

2.7%

Miami

15.9%

Minneapolis

3.2%

New York

6.6%

Phoenix

2.9%

Portland

1.1%

San Diego

1.6%

San Francisco

-4.2%

Seattle

-1.8%

Tampa

13.9%

Washington

4.3%

Composite-20

4.6%

Big picture: Home prices reflect the major slowdown the interest rate-sensitive housing sector went through at the end of last year.

And with mortgage rates back up, housing sales are poised to take a hit, meaning that home prices will likely continue this downward slide in the coming months. 

What S&P said: “The prospect of stable, or higher, interest rates means that mortgage financing remains a headwind for home prices, while economic weakness, including the possibility of a recession, may also constrain potential buyers,” Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI, said. 

“Given these prospects for a challenging macroeconomic environment, home prices may well continue to weaken,” he added.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.35%

and the S&P 500
SPX,
+0.06%

were up in early trading on Tuesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
3.961%

rose above 3.94%.

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