Oil futures head higher as Saudi Arabia extends its output cut through December

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Oil futures headed higher on Tuesday, shaking off an early decline as prices found support in the wake of Saudi Arabia’s decision to extend its voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels a day through the end of this year.

Prices for the commodity had been trading lower in early dealings, pressured after downbeat economic data from China raised worries about global demand.

Price action

  • West Texas Intermediate crude
    CL00,
    +1.36%

    for October delivery
    CL.1,
    +1.37%

    CLV23,
    +1.37%

    rose $1.56, or 1.8%, to $87.11 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. WTI, the U.S. benchmark, didn’t close Monday due to the Labor Day holiday.

  • November Brent crude
    BRN00,
    +0.88%

    BRNX23,
    +0.88%
    ,
    the global benchmark, was up $1.27, or 1.4%, at $90.27 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.

  • October gasoline
    RBV23,
    +1.59%

    tacked on 2.2% to $2.6475 a gallon, and October heating oil
    HOV23,
    +3.16%

    climbed 2.9% to $3.1954 a gallon.

  • Natural gas for October delivery
    NGV23,
    -6.18%

    traded at $2.602 per million British thermal units, down 5.9%.

Market drivers

Saudi Arabia will extend a production cut of 1 million barrels a day for three months, running to the end of December, the country’s official press agency reported Tuesday, citing an energy ministry official.

The report said Saudi production in October, November and December would effectively be 9 million barrels a day.

“Oil prices have rallied as traders have gotten the message loud and clear that OPEC+ is not in the mood to ease supply anytime soon,” Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaye Capital Markets, in emailed commentary.

WTI jumped more than 7% last week, while Brent advanced 5.5%, with both benchmarks ending Friday at their highest since November. Brent added to its rise in London trading on Monday.

Crude prices more than recovered from an early August swoon as the market focus turned back to tightening supplies, enhanced by expectations Saudi Arabia would extend its production cut through October.

Early Tuesday, oil prices had seen some pressure after downbeat news from the world’s second-largest economy.

A Caixin survey showed China’s service sector expanded in August at its slowest pace in eight months, providing further evidence that the country’s postpandemic recovery was faltering.

In addition, a eurozone survey showed that output in the bloc contracted at its fastest pace in nearly three years last month.

Analysts said the backdrop for crude remains constructive, however. Futures for Brent and WTI have moved into backwardation, meaning that front-dated contracts are priced higher than deferred contracts, underlining tightness in the physical market for crude.

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