Oil higher, but set for weekly decline as China demand worries overhang market

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Oil futures rose Friday, but remained on track for a weekly fall as investors weigh prospects for Chinese demand and monitor talks over a price cap on Russian crude.

Price action
  • West Texas Intermediate crude for January delivery
    CL.1,
    +1.45%

    CL00,
    +1.45%

    CLF23,
    +1.45%

    rose $1.72, or 2.2%, to $79.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, trimming its weekly fall to 0.5%. U.S. markets were closed Thursday for Thanksgiving Day.

  • January Brent crude
    BRNF23,
    +0.83%
    ,
    the global benchmark, rose $1.31, or 1.5%, to$86.65 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe. January Brent fell 7 cents per barrel, or 0.1%, on Thursday. February Brent
    BRN00,
    +0.96%

    BRNG23,
    +0.96%
    ,
    the most actively traded contract, was up $1.48, or 1.7%, at $86.72 a barrel, on track for a weekly decline of 0.5%.

  • Back on Nymex,
    RBZ22,
    -0.53%

    fell 0.1% to $2.472 a gallon, while December heating oil
    HOZ22,
    +1.48%

    jumped 2.3% to $3.436 a gallon.

  • December natural gas
    NGZ22,
    -2.59%

    was down 0.4% at $7.278 per million British thermal units, but was headed for a weekly gain of more than 15%.

Market drivers

Crude prices have retreated sharply in November, with weakness attributed in part to disappointment over China’s continued COVID-19 restrictions. The country, one of the world’s largest energy consumers, has continued to impose restrictions aimed at containing the spread of the virus.

See: Panic-buying seen in Beijing as government orders construction of COVID-19 quarantine centers

“Lockdowns in all but name appear to be popping up in major Chinese cities in an attempt to get a grip on record cases which will weigh heavily on economic activity once more and in turn demand. It’s now a question of how long they last but clearly investors’ enthusiasm toward the relaxation of COVID restrictions was a bit premature,” said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a note.

China’s central bank on Friday moved to provide some stimulus to the economy, lowering the amount of deposits banks have to set aside, releasing 500 billion yuan ($69.91 billion) of liquidity.

See: China cuts banks’ Reserve Requirement Ratio

Meanwhile, European diplomats on Wednesday were unable to come to an agreement on a Group of Seven plan to put a price cap on Russian crude, the latest measure aimed at curtailing the country’s economy in response to the invasion of Ukraine. European Union officials were expected to hold further talks in an effort to come to an agreement ahead of a Dec. 5 deadline when the cap is supposed to take effect alongside a European embargo on Russian oil.

See also: IEA says Europe can cope with energy crunch, this winter, but the next will be a problem

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