Home prices hit a new high in November, Case-Shiller says

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The numbers: Home prices in the 20 biggest U.S. metros rose for the tenth month in a row and hit a record high due to a low number of listed homes.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city house price index rose 0.1% in November compared to the previous month. 

Home prices in the 20 major U.S. metro markets were up 5.4% in the last 12 months ending in November. 

A broader measure of home prices, the national index, rose 0.2% in November and was also up 5.1% over the past year. All numbers are seasonally adjusted.

The 20-city and the national index are at an all-time high.

Key details: Detroit posted the biggest year-over-year home-price gains in November. Prices were up 8.2%. The city was the best performing real-estate market for the third month in a row,

Portland was the only city which saw home prices fall in November.

A separate report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency also showed home prices rose 0.3% in November from the last month, and were up 6.6% in the past year.

Big picture: Even though mortgage rates were elevated between October and November — which sapped home-buying demand — the persistent and severe lack of supply of homes for sale has resulted in prices rising yet again.

With an imbalance between demand from home buyers and a reluctance among homeowners to sell and give up their ultra-low rate, the dynamic is likely to persist. 

Particularly since rates have fallen since November and demand has ticked up, home prices will likely continue to march upwards into the new year.

What S&P said: “November’s year-over-year gain saw the largest growth in U.S. home prices in 2023, with our National Composite rising 5.1%,” Brian D. Luke, head of commodities, real and digital assets at S&P DJI, said in a statement.

Most markets are seeing home prices grow, he added. “The days of markets in the South rising double digits with markets in the Midwest remaining flat are over,” Luke said.

And with mortgage rates falling since November, that could “support further annual gains in home prices,” he added.

Looking ahead: “With mortgage rates now lower and spring home buying demand already lurking, home prices will continue to rise,” Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic, said in a statement.

That’s “especially considering the outsized pent-up demand for homes coming from young buyers, those who have been waiting for lower rates, and huge influx of immigrants over the last couple of years,” she added.

Market reaction: Stocks

were up in early trading on Tuesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
was over 4%.

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