US Dollar Technical Forecast: Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD

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EUR/USD perked up on Tuesday after bouncing from a key floor slightly above the 1.0700 mark, with prices approaching cluster resistance at 1.0780. If the bulls manage to take out this technical barrier in the coming days, we could see a move toward the 200-day simple moving average at 1.0840.

In contrast, if sellers return and drive the pair below horizontal support at 1.0720, bearish pressure could intensify, exposing the 1.0650 region. The pair is likely to start a bottoming-out phase around these levels before staging a turnaround, but in the event of a breakdown, a rapid move towards 1.0524 could ensue.


EUR/USD Chart Created Using TradingView

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of clients are net long.

of clients are net short.

Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -14% 25% -1%
Weekly 25% -4% 11%


After Monday’s selloff, GBP/USD rebounded on Tuesday, climbing past its 200-day SMA but falling just shy of recapturing the 1.2600 handle. We cannot definitively state that this ceiling will hold, but if it does, sellers could resume their offensive, paving the way for a drop towards 1.2560, followed by 1.2455.

On the other hand, if cable manages to breach resistance at 1.2600, breakout traders may be enticed to jump in, reinforcing the upward push and creating optimal conditions for a rally towards the 50-day simple moving average at 1.2680. On further strength, all eyes will be on trendline resistance at 1.2750.


A screenshot of a graph  Description automatically generated

GBP/USD Chart Created Using TradingView

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of clients are net long.

of clients are net short.

Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 6% -5% 0%
Weekly -20% 25% 0%


USD/CAD fell sharply on Tuesday after failing to break above confluence resistance at 1.3535, a key area where multiple previous swing highs align with the 50% Fib retracement of the Nov/Dec slump. If the decline gains steam in the coming days, support awaits around the 200-day SMA near 1.3475. Subsequent losses could shift the spotlight to the 50-day SMA at 1.3420, followed by 1.3380.

Conversely, in the event that the pair embarks on a bullish reversal from its present position, the first ceiling to watch emerges at 1.3535, as previously highlighted. Moving higher, the crosshairs will be locked onto 1.3575 and then 1.3620.


A screenshot of a computer screen  Description automatically generated

USD/CAD Chart Created Using TradingView

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USD/JPY suffered a setback on Tuesday following a bearish rejection at technical resistance near 148.90, with the pullback seemingly amplified by falling U.S. yields. If weakness persists later this week, support is located at 147.40. Below this area, the next significant floor to consider emerges at 146.00.

On the other hand, if the bulls regain control, which appears to be a strong possibility given the improved U.S. dollar outlook stemming from the Fed’s reluctance to deliver premature rate cuts, resistance looms at 148.90, followed by 150.00. In case of further gains, attention will be directed towards 152.00.



USD/JPY Chart Created Using TradingView

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